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December Housing Reports Show Plummeting Home Sales in 2018 in Toronto and Vancouver

In separate releases, the local real estate boards in Canada's largest housing markets released data this week showing home sales fell to decade lows in 2018 reflecting rising interest rates and stricter mortgage rules.

Sales in the GTA fell 16% in 2018 while the average price declined 4.3%, the Toronto Real Estate Board reported today. That is the worst year for sales in Canada's largest city since the financial crisis in 2008. In Vancouver, full-year sales fell 32%, the lowest since 2000 and 25% below the 10-year average. Prices in Vancouver for detached homes in some areas dropped at least 10%.

Sales in both cities dived in the first half of 2018 after the federal government imposed more stringent qualifying rules for mortgages. Vancouver sales continued to suffer even while Toronto began to recover in the second half, as the British Columbia government introduced more measures to deter speculation. The BC government in its 2018 budget increased the foreign buyers' tax and added a speculation tax, which in addition to rising interest rates dampened sales, especially for more expensive single-family homes.

New listings were down in Toronto last month as homeowners have decided to stay put for now rather than attempting to cash out.



Dr. Sherry Cooper
Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres